FHA Will Tighten Underwriting
According to this Inman News article, FHA will tighten up in 2010, "The Obama administration is moving to tighten underwriting standards on FHA-backed loans by increasing the amount of upfront cash homebuyers must bring to the table, raising minimum FICO scores for new borrowers, and reducing maximum seller concessions from 6 percent to 3 percent." Many industry experts and insiders believe that this will result in the FHA raising the minimum down payment from 3.5% to 5.0%, raising the minimum credit score to around 620 and reducing (from 6% to 3%) the amount of closing costs that the seller can pay on behalf of buyers. The reason that the FHA is taking these measures is that the FHA is currently experiencing record default rates and is insolvent as a result of the FHA's role in becoming the de-facto replacement for the extinct subprime mortgage market. I covered this issue in my blog post FHA in Deep Trouble: Default Rates Skyrocketing.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Monday, December 7, 2009
Residential Home Sales Market Statistics: A Comparison of Normal Sales versus Short Sales and Foreclosures in November 2009
Middle Tennessee Residential Property Foreclosure Activity Report | |||||||
Residential Real Estate Market Sales Activity - Foreclosures, Pre-foreclosures and Short Sales Compared to Regular Listings | |||||||
Counties & Cities/Towns Covered: | |||||||
Rutherford County Tennessee: Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN and La Vergne TN (LaVergne TN) | |||||||
Williamson County Tennessee: Brentwood TN and Franklin TN | |||||||
Month & Year | Nov-09 | ||||||
Start Date | 11/1/2009 | ||||||
End Date | 11/30/2009 | ||||||
City/Town | Active Listings - Total | Active Listings - % Foreclosures & Short Sales | Pending Sales - % Foreclosures & Short Sales | Months of Residential Inventory Based on Pending Sales Rate | |||
Murfreesboro | 1,208 | 10.02% | 11.73% | 7.46 | |||
Smyrna | 316 | 14.56% | 21.95% | 7.71 | |||
La Vergne | 251 | 22.31% | 55.26% | 6.61 | |||
Brentwood | 541 | 5.55% | 0.00% | 10.40 | |||
Franklin | 895 | 5.25% | 5.94% | 8.86 | |||
Totals & Averages | 3,211 | 9.34% | 13.96% | 8.15 | |||
Notes: | |||||||
As you can see from the chart above the percentage of Pending Sales that are distress sales (Foreclosures and Short Sales) is greater than their representation as a percentage of Active Listings. This means that these distressed listings are Pending (i.e. selling) at a faster rate then regular listings. | |||||||
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Residential Home Sales Market Statistics: A Comparison of Normal Sales versus Short Sales and Foreclosures in October 2009
| Middle Tennessee Residential Property Foreclosure Activity Report | |||||||
| Residential Real Estate Market Sales Activity - Foreclosures, Pre-foreclosures and Short Sales Compared to Regular Listings | |||||||
| Counties & Cities/Towns Covered: | |||||||
| Rutherford County Tennessee: Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN and La Vergne TN (LaVergne TN) | |||||||
| Williamson County Tennessee: Brentwood TN and Franklin TN | |||||||
| Month & Year | Oct-09 | ||||||
| Start Date | 10/1/2009 | ||||||
| End Date | 10/31/2009 | ||||||
| City/Town | Active Listings - Total | Active Listings - % Foreclosures & Short Sales | Pending Sales - % Foreclosures & Short Sales | Months of Residential Inventory Based on Pending Sales Rate | |||
| Murfreesboro | 950 | 9.37% | 4.82% | 11.45 | |||
| Smyrna | 242 | 14.46% | 19.05% | 11.52 | |||
| La Vergne | 188 | 23.40% | 54.55% | 8.55 | |||
| Brentwood | 439 | 5.69% | 0.00% | 11.55 | |||
| Franklin | 742 | 5.26% | 3.23% | 11.97 | |||
| | | | | | |||
| Totals & Averages | 2,561 | 9.06% | 9.73% | 11.33 | |||
| Notes: | |||||||
| As you can see from the chart above the percentage of Pending Sales that are distress sales (Foreclosures and Short Sales) is greater than their representation as a percentage of Active Listings. This means that these distressed listings are Pending (i.e. selling) at a faster rate then regular listings. | |||||||
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Thursday, December 3, 2009
IndyMac-OneWest Harming Homeowners
IndyMac-OneWest Harming Homeowners
According to this PissedConsumer review of IndyMac Bank (now OneWest), the FDIC's generous shared-loss deal with OneWest (the bank/investor that purchased the defunct IndyMac) is causing serious problems for financially distressed homeowners who are former IndyMac mortgage, equity loan and equity line borrowers. In my blog posts FDIC Hurting Distressed Homeowners and FDIC Hurting Homeowners: Case 1 I cover the causes of the problems. I recommend that you check out the links and see exactly what the FDIC's actions (paid for with taxpayer money) are allowing IndyMac/OneWest to do to people. It is truly infuriating and deeply disturbing. The result will be more foreclosed homes and homeowners.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
According to this PissedConsumer review of IndyMac Bank (now OneWest), the FDIC's generous shared-loss deal with OneWest (the bank/investor that purchased the defunct IndyMac) is causing serious problems for financially distressed homeowners who are former IndyMac mortgage, equity loan and equity line borrowers. In my blog posts FDIC Hurting Distressed Homeowners and FDIC Hurting Homeowners: Case 1 I cover the causes of the problems. I recommend that you check out the links and see exactly what the FDIC's actions (paid for with taxpayer money) are allowing IndyMac/OneWest to do to people. It is truly infuriating and deeply disturbing. The result will be more foreclosed homes and homeowners.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Tuesday, December 1, 2009
FDIC Hurting Homeowners: Case 1
FDIC Hurting Homeowners: Case 1
In my previous blog post, FDIC Hurting Distressed Homeowners, I discussed some current FDIC actions that are hurting distressed homeowners. Based on this information and other information posted on my blog (see Our Phony Real Estate Market), I believe that the recent government actions (shared-loss agreements with banks that take over failed banks, bank bailouts, FASB accounting rule changes which allow financial institutions (banks) to hide losses, homebuyer tax credits, increased mortgage loan purchasing by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae, the US Treasury's $1.25 trillion mortgage security purchasing program, expanded FHA, Making Home Affordable, etc.) are actually harming distressed homeowners, new home buyers, existing homeowners and the real estate market in general. The harm is usually caused due to the unintended consequences of the government meddling in the market. Below is my first live case study of such adverse consequences.
FDIC Hurting Homeowners: Case Study #1
In response to my blog post FDIC Hurting Distressed Homeowners, I received an email from a homeowner who is a victim of the FDIC's shared-loss agreement with OneWest Bank which took over the now defunct IndyMac Bank. OneWest Bank is owned by George Soros, Michael Dell, Steve Mnuchin (former Goldman Sachs executive), and John Paulson (hedge-fund billionaire). Therefore, the US Government via the FDIC is using taxpayer money to make the super rich even richer. This disgusts me.
The homeowner is fighting to save their home from foreclosure. In doing so they sent the letter below to "every member of congress in my state along with the media." Therefore, they gave me permission to publish their letter on my blog. In the interest of disclosure, the letter is exactly as I received it except for some formatting changes and some spelling corrections. As you can see this is a very disturbing situation where the actions of the government have enabled and government enriched company to push a financially distressed homeowner around. The result of this will be increased foreclosures, which are harmful to homeowners and neighborhoods and reduced numbers of loan modifications and short sales, which are better for distressed homeowners and neighborhoods. In the interest of getting this message out to the public please feel free to repost this information on your blog, or to email this post to other people.
In my previous blog post, FDIC Hurting Distressed Homeowners, I discussed some current FDIC actions that are hurting distressed homeowners. Based on this information and other information posted on my blog (see Our Phony Real Estate Market), I believe that the recent government actions (shared-loss agreements with banks that take over failed banks, bank bailouts, FASB accounting rule changes which allow financial institutions (banks) to hide losses, homebuyer tax credits, increased mortgage loan purchasing by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae, the US Treasury's $1.25 trillion mortgage security purchasing program, expanded FHA, Making Home Affordable, etc.) are actually harming distressed homeowners, new home buyers, existing homeowners and the real estate market in general. The harm is usually caused due to the unintended consequences of the government meddling in the market. Below is my first live case study of such adverse consequences.
FDIC Hurting Homeowners: Case Study #1
In response to my blog post FDIC Hurting Distressed Homeowners, I received an email from a homeowner who is a victim of the FDIC's shared-loss agreement with OneWest Bank which took over the now defunct IndyMac Bank. OneWest Bank is owned by George Soros, Michael Dell, Steve Mnuchin (former Goldman Sachs executive), and John Paulson (hedge-fund billionaire). Therefore, the US Government via the FDIC is using taxpayer money to make the super rich even richer. This disgusts me.
The homeowner is fighting to save their home from foreclosure. In doing so they sent the letter below to "every member of congress in my state along with the media." Therefore, they gave me permission to publish their letter on my blog. In the interest of disclosure, the letter is exactly as I received it except for some formatting changes and some spelling corrections. As you can see this is a very disturbing situation where the actions of the government have enabled and government enriched company to push a financially distressed homeowner around. The result of this will be increased foreclosures, which are harmful to homeowners and neighborhoods and reduced numbers of loan modifications and short sales, which are better for distressed homeowners and neighborhoods. In the interest of getting this message out to the public please feel free to repost this information on your blog, or to email this post to other people.
  |
| If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in and around Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN and Belle Meade TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert. |
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
23% of Homeowners Underwater
23% of Homeowners Underwater
According to this Wall Street Journal article, One in Four Borrowers Is Underwater, First American CoreLogic, a real-estate information company based in Santa Ana, Calif, reports that 23% of US homeowners who have mortgages owe more than their homes are worth (i.e. underwater). See below for the state by state analysis of underwater home owners.
As you can see, according to the map above (click on it to see the stats), 13.2% of Tennessee homeowners with mortgages are underwater with an additional 7.0% being almost nearly underwater (Defined as properties within 5% of being in a negative equity position). While better than the 23% figure stated in the article title, it is fact still a fairly large number which will lead to more problems. According to the article, "These so-called underwater mortgages pose a roadblock to a housing recovery because the properties are more likely to fall into bank foreclosure and get dumped into an already saturated market. Economists from J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. said Monday they didn't expect U.S. home prices to hit bottom until early 2011, citing the prospect of oversupply. Home prices have fallen so far that 5.3 million U.S. households are tied to mortgages that are at least 20% higher than their home's value, the First American report said. More than 520,000 of these borrowers have received a notice of default, according to First American."
The article quotes Mark Fleming, chief economist of First American Core Logic, as saying negative equity "is an outstanding risk hanging over the mortgage market. It lowers homeowners' mobility because they can't sell, even if they want to move to get a new job." The article mentions that Fleming believes that borrowers who owe more than 120% of their home's value were more likely to default. This is proving to be significant since according to the article, "Mortgage troubles are not limited to the unemployed. About 588,000 borrowers defaulted on mortgages last year even though they could afford to pay -- more than double the number in 2007, according to a study by Experian and consulting firm Oliver Wyman." I cover this topic in my blog post Underwater Homeowners Walking Away From Their Homes.
Without going on an on with this post, I will end it with the comment that the increase in the number of underwater homeowners will lead to an increase in short sales and foreclosures (as homeowners give up on regaining their lost equity) and this will in turn put additional downward pressure on home prices.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in and around Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN and Belle Meade TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
According to this Wall Street Journal article, One in Four Borrowers Is Underwater, First American CoreLogic, a real-estate information company based in Santa Ana, Calif, reports that 23% of US homeowners who have mortgages owe more than their homes are worth (i.e. underwater). See below for the state by state analysis of underwater home owners.
As you can see, according to the map above (click on it to see the stats), 13.2% of Tennessee homeowners with mortgages are underwater with an additional 7.0% being almost nearly underwater (Defined as properties within 5% of being in a negative equity position). While better than the 23% figure stated in the article title, it is fact still a fairly large number which will lead to more problems. According to the article, "These so-called underwater mortgages pose a roadblock to a housing recovery because the properties are more likely to fall into bank foreclosure and get dumped into an already saturated market. Economists from J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. said Monday they didn't expect U.S. home prices to hit bottom until early 2011, citing the prospect of oversupply. Home prices have fallen so far that 5.3 million U.S. households are tied to mortgages that are at least 20% higher than their home's value, the First American report said. More than 520,000 of these borrowers have received a notice of default, according to First American."
The article quotes Mark Fleming, chief economist of First American Core Logic, as saying negative equity "is an outstanding risk hanging over the mortgage market. It lowers homeowners' mobility because they can't sell, even if they want to move to get a new job." The article mentions that Fleming believes that borrowers who owe more than 120% of their home's value were more likely to default. This is proving to be significant since according to the article, "Mortgage troubles are not limited to the unemployed. About 588,000 borrowers defaulted on mortgages last year even though they could afford to pay -- more than double the number in 2007, according to a study by Experian and consulting firm Oliver Wyman." I cover this topic in my blog post Underwater Homeowners Walking Away From Their Homes.
Without going on an on with this post, I will end it with the comment that the increase in the number of underwater homeowners will lead to an increase in short sales and foreclosures (as homeowners give up on regaining their lost equity) and this will in turn put additional downward pressure on home prices.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in and around Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN and Belle Meade TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
Housing Will Decline In 2010
Housing Will Decline In 2010
According to this CNBC article, Housing Slump May Worsen Next Year, Not Get Better, in 2010 the housing market will get worse, not better. Their premise is that due to the first time home buyer tax credit (and the recent extension and expansion), "Sales of existing homes will peak in the final quarter of 2009, then begin a year-long slide, which is likely to be a sharp one, according to some estimates."
The article quotes Global Insight economist Patrick Newport as saying "Most of it [the tax credit] is simply shifting sales from one period to another. "It doesn’t get rid of the fundamental problem; there's still a glut of houses. At the end of 2010, you’re still going to have that glut." That is why I have been saying that new home construction does not need to slow - it needs to stop completely. According to Newport, single-family home sales will reach an annual rate of 5.88 million units in the 4th quarter of 2009 (vs. 5.30 in the third quarter). In 2010 he predicts that home sales will decline to 5.65 million units in the 1st quarter of 2010 and average around 4.75 million units in the second half of 2010. That indeed is a large decline.
According to the article, even David Crowe, chief economist at the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), agrees with the sales shifting premise when he said "We expect a little stall in 2010. I agree, you do advance demand, so you steal it for (from?) the future. The economy and the job market didn't pick up as people expected in '09 and as a consequence that is rolling it in 2010." According to the article, NAHB has predicts a homes sales situation similar to that above with single family home sales reaching a peak of 5.60 million units in the 1st quarter 2010 and declining to about 4.50 million units in the 3rd quarter of 2010, for a 2010 home sales average of 5.15 million units.
According to the article, supporters of the tax credit (and the recent extension and $6,500 expansion to repeat home buyers) did believe that the tax credit would prompt some people to purchase a home sooner than they originally intended, thus reducing the future buyer pool, but those lost future purchases would eventually be replaced by another group of home buyers brought into the real estate market by the improving economy and job market. However, now there is doubt that the $6,500 credit for repeat buyers will help the housing market at all due to the original tax credit not being enough to help new home sales.
The article quotes Andrew Jakobovics, associate director for housing and economics at the Center for American Progress, as saying "I don’t know if the expansion is really going to get anyone else into the market, if you think about what the transaction costs (are). The people who are going to take advantage of it [the tax credit] were going to move anyway. A lot of the new households will be renters or stay renters." I agree in that the marginal effect of the tax credit extension/expansion will be much smaller than NAHB and NAR want. The article states "Most economists see the jobless rate—now 10.3 percent—peaking around 11 percent sometime in early to mid 2010 and then creeping down to around 10 percent by the end of the year. That's too high to make much of a dent in the current glut. Inventory levels are now at an 8-9-month supply--Down from the 10-11-month levels of early 2009, but still above the 6-7-month goal. Another casualty of the job market is household creation, which has meant a steady stream of buyers in the past, helping keep inventories at a healthy level. In 2008, for the first time in years, household creation fell—and sharply, too. At the same time, the number of young adults living at home and average marriage ages increased. More recently, there has been a flattening." As a result the less than desired tax credit effects, continuing high unemployment, and declining and/or flattening of household formation, the housing market will still be in poor shape near the end of 2010. Add in the expiration of the tax credit, the coming end of the government mortgage buying programs and the failing FHA (due to record defaults) - see my blog posts: Housing Faces Upcoming Challenges and Our Phony Real Estate Market - the housing market could be substantially worse in 2010. In fact, short sales and foreclosures will likely increase in 2010 and the result will continued downward pressure on housing prices.
As always, the article mentions that Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief ecomonist, as being bullish on real estate with a prediction that home prices will increase by 4% in 2010. As a homeowner I would like to believe this, but it just defies common sense.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in and around Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN and Belle Meade TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
According to this CNBC article, Housing Slump May Worsen Next Year, Not Get Better, in 2010 the housing market will get worse, not better. Their premise is that due to the first time home buyer tax credit (and the recent extension and expansion), "Sales of existing homes will peak in the final quarter of 2009, then begin a year-long slide, which is likely to be a sharp one, according to some estimates."
The article quotes Global Insight economist Patrick Newport as saying "Most of it [the tax credit] is simply shifting sales from one period to another. "It doesn’t get rid of the fundamental problem; there's still a glut of houses. At the end of 2010, you’re still going to have that glut." That is why I have been saying that new home construction does not need to slow - it needs to stop completely. According to Newport, single-family home sales will reach an annual rate of 5.88 million units in the 4th quarter of 2009 (vs. 5.30 in the third quarter). In 2010 he predicts that home sales will decline to 5.65 million units in the 1st quarter of 2010 and average around 4.75 million units in the second half of 2010. That indeed is a large decline.
According to the article, even David Crowe, chief economist at the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), agrees with the sales shifting premise when he said "We expect a little stall in 2010. I agree, you do advance demand, so you steal it for (from?) the future. The economy and the job market didn't pick up as people expected in '09 and as a consequence that is rolling it in 2010." According to the article, NAHB has predicts a homes sales situation similar to that above with single family home sales reaching a peak of 5.60 million units in the 1st quarter 2010 and declining to about 4.50 million units in the 3rd quarter of 2010, for a 2010 home sales average of 5.15 million units.
According to the article, supporters of the tax credit (and the recent extension and $6,500 expansion to repeat home buyers) did believe that the tax credit would prompt some people to purchase a home sooner than they originally intended, thus reducing the future buyer pool, but those lost future purchases would eventually be replaced by another group of home buyers brought into the real estate market by the improving economy and job market. However, now there is doubt that the $6,500 credit for repeat buyers will help the housing market at all due to the original tax credit not being enough to help new home sales.
The article quotes Andrew Jakobovics, associate director for housing and economics at the Center for American Progress, as saying "I don’t know if the expansion is really going to get anyone else into the market, if you think about what the transaction costs (are). The people who are going to take advantage of it [the tax credit] were going to move anyway. A lot of the new households will be renters or stay renters." I agree in that the marginal effect of the tax credit extension/expansion will be much smaller than NAHB and NAR want. The article states "Most economists see the jobless rate—now 10.3 percent—peaking around 11 percent sometime in early to mid 2010 and then creeping down to around 10 percent by the end of the year. That's too high to make much of a dent in the current glut. Inventory levels are now at an 8-9-month supply--Down from the 10-11-month levels of early 2009, but still above the 6-7-month goal. Another casualty of the job market is household creation, which has meant a steady stream of buyers in the past, helping keep inventories at a healthy level. In 2008, for the first time in years, household creation fell—and sharply, too. At the same time, the number of young adults living at home and average marriage ages increased. More recently, there has been a flattening." As a result the less than desired tax credit effects, continuing high unemployment, and declining and/or flattening of household formation, the housing market will still be in poor shape near the end of 2010. Add in the expiration of the tax credit, the coming end of the government mortgage buying programs and the failing FHA (due to record defaults) - see my blog posts: Housing Faces Upcoming Challenges and Our Phony Real Estate Market - the housing market could be substantially worse in 2010. In fact, short sales and foreclosures will likely increase in 2010 and the result will continued downward pressure on housing prices.
As always, the article mentions that Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief ecomonist, as being bullish on real estate with a prediction that home prices will increase by 4% in 2010. As a homeowner I would like to believe this, but it just defies common sense.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in and around Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN and Belle Meade TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.
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