Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Commercial Real Estate Problems

Commercial Real Estate Problems

According to this Philly.com article, Commercial real estate facing worse days, the worst for commercial real estate is yet to come. The article cites the contracting economy and worsening financing markets as the main causes of the commercial real estate decline. My opinion is that the real problem is that all real estate prices (residential and commercial) just reached a point where they made no sense whatsoever. According to the article, "It's just a hint of the harrowing state of affairs in commercial real estate, where vacancies are on the rise across virtually all sectors, rents and property values are dropping, building owners are low on funds, and financing options are drying up. And bad as things are, they're expected to get worse - the next slide in the snowballing economic crisis that began with the collapse of the housing market and continues to claim casualties." The article quotes Sid Smith, managing partner of the regional office of Newmark Knight Frank Smith Mack, a global real estate services firm, as saying "There's a tremendous amount of pain coming." I definitely agree. I predict that we will see more and more commercial real estate foreclosures, bankruptcies and short sales.

If you are a Middle TN real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay the property/project mortgage payments (due to the poor economy, adverse financing conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), have already defaulted on the mortgage, or are already in foreclosure, or owe more than the property/project is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/project). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in and around Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN and Belle Meade TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.

Nashville Developer Faces Foreclosure

Nashville Developer Faces Foreclosure

According to this Nashville Business Journal article, Bank forecloses on property for Crosland's Griffin Plaza, Crosland, Inc.'s Griffin Plaza property (a 280,000 square-foot mixed-use development) in Downtown Nashville TN (in the Gulch area) is being foreclosed on by Carolina First Bank. The trustee auction sale is scheduled to take place on 11/30/2009 at 11:00 AM in front of the main entrance to the Sommet Center. This news comes only about a week after I posted my article, Terrazzo in Nashville Gulch to Auction Condo Units Due to Slow Sales, in which I predicted that the developer of the Terrazzo (also Crosland) would face foreclosure on that project. Now, I am almost certain that foreclosure will occur. It is clear that many other Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee developers will go bankrupt and/or face foreclosure. The worst is yet to come.

If you are a Middle TN real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay the property/project mortgage payments (due to the poor economy, adverse financing conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), have already defaulted on the mortgage, or are already in foreclosure, or owe more than the property/project is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/project). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in and around Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN and Belle Meade TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.

Monday, November 16, 2009

Foreclosure Problem Spreading

Foreclosure Problem Spreading

According to this SmartMoney article, Beyond California: New Foreclosure Hot Spots, and this The Christian Science Monitor article, Foreclosure surprise: 10 fastest-growing problem cities are newcomers, the foreclosure problem is spreading to previously stable (and largely untouched) cities and towns.  Both articles cite rising unemployment as the main cause of the spreading foreclosure crisis. The result of this spreading crisis will be more short sales and foreclosures in these areas.

If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in and around Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN and Belle Meade TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.

FDIC Hurting Distressed Homeowners

FDIC Hurting Distressed Homeowners

As set forth in this FDIC publication, IndyMac Shared-Loss Agreement, the FDIC is making so called "Shared-Loss Agreements" (SLAs) with investors who are willing to purchase the assets of insolvent financial institutions.  Without going into all the details, these SLAs basically offer these investors guarantees on huge percentages of any net losses that they may suffer as a result of their investment in the failed financial institution.  In this particular case, the FDIC is paying for 80%+ of the net losses of the investor (OneWest Bank) who purchased the assets of IndyMac. Basically, the Net Loss is calculated by taking the current outstanding balance of the mortgage note (at the time of the loan purchase) less the net proceeds of the short sale or foreclosure offer price.

The reason this is a problem for financially distressed homeowners is that due to the loss guarantees provided by the FDIC, the investors mentioned above have very little financial risk in the deal.  Therefore, they have incentives to take what would normally be a big risk (but isn't due to their sweet loss guarantees courtesy of the FDIC) such as foreclosing on homeowners to try and squeeze out more profit even when there are feasible alternatives to foreclosure such as short sales and loan modifications.  As a result, these investors are making it difficult and even impossible to get loan modifications and short sales approved.

In her blog post, Is the FDIC Killing Short Sales, Alexis McGee of Foreclosures.com states that "IndyMac was taken over by the FDIC and sold to OneWest Bank in March/2009. Guess who the investors are behind OneWest? George Soros, Michael Dell, Steve Mnuchin (former Goldman Sachs executive), and John Paulson (hedge-fund billionaire)." She goes on to describe the terms of the SLA.  The highlights are below:
  • The investors purchased all current residential mortgages at 70% of par value (70% of the outstanding loan amounts).
  • They purchased all current HELOCS at 58% of Par Value.
  • The FDIC stepped in and guaranteed that for any residential mortgages where OneWest experiences a loss, the FDIC will step in and cover anywhere from 80%-95% of the loss. The loss is calculated using the current outstanding balance of the mortgage note (at the time of the loan purchase), not the amount that OneWest paid for the loan.
  • For foreclosures, the FDIC picks up 80% of the tab on all of the extra costs associated with a foreclosure (BPO’s, upkeep, utilities/maintenance, legal fees, etc.)
Here is an example which shows why this creates a problem for financially distressed homeowners who would like to do a short sale, or obtain a loan modification.  Let's say one of the loans that OneWest purchases has a Current Loan Amount of $500,000.  Based on the 70% purchase deal described above, OneWest would have paid $350,000 for this loan.  Also, let's assume that an all cash investor wants to purchase the property via a short sale for net offer price to OneWest of $200,000.  Below is the analysis of this situation:

  • The Net Loss, according to the FDIC calculations, is $500,000 (i.e. the current outstanding balance of the mortgage note at the time of loan purchase) less $200,000 (i.e. the net proceeds of the short sale offer) = $300,000.
  • Based on this $300,000 Net Loss, the FDIC pays OneWest $240,000 (i.e. 80% of the Net Loss).
  • One West would then be able to sell the property in question for the short sale Net Offer Price of $200,000 and end up with total revenue of $440,000 ($240,000 + $200,000) for a loan that they paid $350,000 for.  Therefore, OneWest will have made a profit of $90,000. 

The reason that this situation creates a problem for a financially distressed homeowner seeking a short sale is that since the FDIC (per the information above) pays 80% of the losses of foreclosure there is no incentive for OneWest to mess around with a short sale unless they can make much more money.  That is why they are demanding absurd short sale settlements and promissory notes from the homeowner.  Of course, there is absolutely no incentive to offer a loan modification so that request would be dead on arrival.

According to Alexis McGee, "The scary thing is that over 50 banks have Shared Loss Agreements in place with the FDIC. Some of them include: Bank of America (go figure), CitiMortgage, Wells Fargo, etc."  I have to agree.  That is truly scary.  I can already see the pain and anguish of hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of financially distressed homeowners as they are unnecessarily dragged through the foreclosure process.

If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in and around Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN and Belle Meade TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.

Saturday, November 7, 2009

Our Phony Real Estate Market

Our Phony Real Estate Market

The "real estate recovery" (or market bottom called), which has been trumpeted by the "drive by media" (translation - they are too lazy to do any real research) for almost a year now, is a fraud, a sham. All we are seeing is the result of artificial government market propping. I cover this in my blog posts: Real Estate Recovery or More Problems (Short Sales and Foreclosures)?, US Government Provides Funding For 95% Of Mortgages, New Subprime Lender: The US Government and Sad Loan Modification Story. If you do not want to read them the key points are below:
  • 59% of all home sales in 2009 are to buyers with FHA, VA, USDA and other government guaranteed/insured/subsidized loans.
  • The US government is now purchasing about 95% of all mortgage loans via Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae. "Lenders" are really nothing more than loan brokers.
  • Government promoted "foreclosure resolution" and "loan modification" programs are nothing more than subprime schemes. Homeowners are given temporary rate and payment reductions, but the real problem (negative equity) is not addressed. The result will be more foreclosures and short sale in the future as these modified loans re-default (most do), or expire. The negative equity will remain and until it is addressed, no real solution will be offered to this financial and real estate mess.
  • The $8,000 first time home buyer tax credit caused an additional 350,000+/- home sales to occur, but about 1,900,000 people will receive the credit according to NAR (these numbers will be much higher due to the recent extension). The result is that each one of those additional 350,000+/- home sales cost approximately $43,000 (1,900,000 x $8,000 / 350,000) in taxpayer money. Based on the typical 1st time buyer home purchase price of $200,000, the cost of each additional sale created was over 20% of the sale price. Clearly, this program is absurdly costly and has no merit. All the tax credit is doing is temporarily propping up housing prices so they stay high relative to historical norms. The home buyers who pay retail prices for homes due to the tax credit will end up the next generation of underwater homeowners, stuck in the homes (prisons) for many, many years due to the negative equity unless they want to short sell their homes.
The real question is what to do if you are a current owner of a home who may want to sell, or a buyer who may want to buy. Here is what you should do:
  • Sellers - If you think you might want to sell soon do not wait. Sell now before the market gets worse. This winter and the spring of 2010 will be your window before the government market propping starts to fail.
  • Buyers - If you cannot wait a few years to buy a home or other property when the market hits bottom I recommend that you buy only short sales, foreclosures, bank owned properties and other distressed properties in order to price in the coming market decline.
Update (9/8/2010): This article was written before the extension of the 2009 housing tax credit to April 30, 2010 (closing before September 30, 2010), so the "Seller's Window" advice above was off by a few months, but did in fact turn out to be accurate. Housing prices are declining again and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future.

Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR, Expert and Real Estate Investor. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR, Real Estate Expert and Real Estate Investor.

If you are a home buyer or real estate investor in Middle Tennessee who is interested in purchasing a Fannie Mae foreclosure, a Freddie Mac foreclosure, bank foreclosure or REO, a short sale, or other distressed real estate in order to get a great home or investment property at an attractive price without dealing with the difficult REO/foreclosure listing agents and you want aggressive and professional buyer representation, please contact me, or visit my website Search the Middle Tennessee MLS - Find Middle TN Short Sales, Pre-foreclosures, Foreclosures & REO's so that you can find foreclosures, short sales and other distressed real estate and homes in Middle TN. I help home buyers in Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN and Belle Meade TN.