Showing posts with label loans. Show all posts
Showing posts with label loans. Show all posts

Monday, April 5, 2010

How To Stop Foreclosure

How To Stop Foreclosure

Homeowners and real estate owners who are in foreclosure, or who have received a letter from their mortgage lender's attorney stating that the foreclosure process will begin, or have received a notice of default frequently ask me how they can stop the foreclosure. Therefore, I listed the best ways to stop a foreclosure action below depending on whether you want to keep your home or investment property.

Options if you want to keep your home or investment property:
  • Mortgage Refinance - If you have not missed a payment yet you still may be able to refinance into a more affordable loan. You should investigate this option as soon as you know that there may be financial trouble as this option will only remain viable for a short period of time. If your home is worth substantially less than the mortgage(s) you need to refinance this option will not work.
  • Loan Modification - Contact your mortgage lender as soon as you miss a mortgage payment and ask about their loan modification options. Don't expect much help, though, as most loan modification requests are not approved.
  • Loan Forbearance - If you are denied for a loan modification due to your financial issue being temporary you may be able to get a loan forbearance agreement with your lender. Basically, forbearance is a temporary reduction in your mortgage payment (usually 3-6 months) where the part of the payments that you did not make (i.e. the difference between the normal payments and the reduced payments) is added to the final forbearance payment. Due to the large final payment, this option most likely only a temporary way to stop foreclosure. However, getting the foreclosure stopped is absolutely necessary so that you can review other options (see below).
Options if you do not want to (or or not able to) keep your home or investment property:
  • Short Sale - A short sale is a sale of real estate where the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off the liens on the real estate (usually the mortgage(s), tax liens and unpaid HOA and condo fees). This is the best way to proceed in that you can frequently, but not always, get the mortgage debt(s) fully satisfied and get released from any future obligations. A short sale is also less damaging to your credit than the other options. If you decide that a short sale is your best option I highly recommend that you chose a REALTOR who specializes in short sales (i.e. not a traditional REALTOR, or neighborhood expert), or a short sale investor. In either case, you need someone who knows how to close short sales since they are very different than regular real estate sales.
  • Bankruptcy - If you have a lot of unsecured debt (i.e. personal loans, credit cards, unpaid bills, collection accounts, etc.) and just need to buy time to evaluate other options a bankruptcy could work for you. Please know that bankruptcy will not save your home. It will only delay the foreclosure unless the lender wants to work with you. Due to the complex laws which regulate personal bankruptcy, you will need to contact a bankruptcy attorney.
  • Deed in Lieu of Foreclosure - Basically, a Deed in Lieu of Foreclosure is where you deed your home directly to your mortgage lender in exchange for them stopping the foreclosure. While this option is better than foreclosure, at least from a credit score standpoint, it will usually not get you released from the debt and probably will not work if you have other mortgages on the property.
Please note that all the options above will be slightly more difficult for real estate investors than they are for homeowners.

Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Homeowners and Property Owners in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.

Housing Headed For Trouble

Housing Headed For Trouble

As a short sale specialist, my listings usually sell very quickly. However, since March 2010 began my short sale listings are selling more slowly than they did previously. I attribute this to the first-time home buyer tax credit since those buyers were the primary buyer pool in my market Middle Tennessee. I think this is particularly true for most markets in the US where the tax credit had a substantial short term impact (particularly in lower priced markets where the $8,000 tax credit is a fairly substantial percentage of the sale prices). Now that the first time home buyer tax credit is nearing expiration, those tax credit buyers are, apparently, not willing to buy new short sale listings (they will still buy pre-approved short sales that can be closed in 30-45 days with a reasonable degree of certainty) since there is no guarantee that they will be able to close by 6/30/2010 (the expiration of the tax credit). Therefore, the only way to sell these short sale listings is to lower the price. These increasingly lower priced short sale and pre-foreclosure listings will put downward pressure on new construction and other retail priced listings.

The next phase of the great real estate meltdown is beginning to unfold as I predicted it would over 1 year ago (see my blog post from 11/2009 for a detailed breakdown of the drivers of the real estate market: Our Phony Real Estate Market). Unfortunately, the tax credit was nothing more than a temporary band-aid solution (really a gimmick) that will ultimately result in the tax credit buyers ending up in foreclosure at a very high rate since they are underwater the moment of closing (most put little to nothing down and have very little cash reserves) and will be even more so as the market declines. The buyers who purchased short sales and foreclosures as substantial discounts will likely be fine. That is why I only sell those types of properties. Unfortunately, home buyers who purchased new construction or other retail priced listings will be in trouble in the next few years. The main problem is that the entire US economy was built on debt. Consumer spending, which was 70%+/- of the entire US economy, was built largely on consumer debt (think credit cards, home equity loans, HELOC's, personal loans, etc.). Without this debt there can be little to no growth in consumer spending, and by extension, little to no growth in the US economy, until personal incomes increase at least enough to pay down current debt and still leave enough to spend more. Given that unemployment still hovers near 10% (the real number is about 16%) this will not happen anytime soon. It is just a matter of simple accounting. In addition to the end of the tax credit buyer ear there is the Option ARM foreclosure wave coming. As a result, there will lots of foreclosures and short sales over the next 5-10 years.

Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance for Real Estate Investors, Home Builders and Developers in Nashville TN and Middle TN. If you are a Nashville Tennessee, Franklin Tennessee, Brentwood Tennessee, Nolensville Tennessee, Spring Hill Tennessee, Murfreesboro Tennessee, Smyrna Tennessee, La Vergne Tennessee, or Middle Tennessee real estate investor, home builder, condo developer or real estate developer who cannot pay the property/project mortgage payments (due to the poor economy, adverse financing conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), have already defaulted on the mortgage, or are already in foreclosure, or owe more than the property/project is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/project). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (property owners, real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Springfield TN, Gallatin TN and Mt. Juliet TN). If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.

Monday, February 8, 2010

7.2 Million Delinquent Mortgages As Of December 2009

7.2 Million Delinquent Mortgages
7.2 Million Mortgage Loans In Default With An Estimated 1.0 Million REO's


According to this LPS Mortgage Monitor (a mortgage industry performance report provided by LPS Applied Analytics), LPS Mortgage Monitor: January 2010 Mortgage Performance Observations: Data as of December 31, 2009 Month-end and the Executive Summary, in December 2009 mortgage loan delinquencies and defaults increased significantly and foreclosures (REO's or bank owned properties) reached the one million mark.  The Executive Summary noted the following:

  • Delinquency rates have surpassed the 10% level; factoring in foreclosures, the total non-current rate sits at 13.3%.
  • Industry extrapolations indicate that over 7.2 million loans are currently behind on payments with an estimated nearly 1 million properties in REO status.
  • Average number of days delinquent for loans in foreclosure has increased 63 percent from January 2008 to December 2009, rising from 249 to 406 days delinquent.
  • Prime loans have experienced a worse pace of deterioration on a relative basis than subprime, FHA and all loans as a whole. Within prime loans, those with current unpaid principal balances between $417,000 and $600,000 have performed the worst.
  • The percent of “new” serious delinquencies (from the population of loans that were current as of year-end 2008) sits at 4.64%, higher than any other year analyzed for the same period. Extrapolated counts result in approximately 2.3 million “new” 60-day delinquent loans from December 2008 to year-end 2009.
  • Roll rates show the largest percentage increase in loans improving since the same period in 2008.
  • 2009 marks the only time during the last five years that the six-month deterioration ratio has dropped from September to December.
  • Foreclosure starts increased slightly in December – still the second lowest month in 2009 based on volume. Foreclosure sales were stable month over month and remain at relatively low levels.
  • 2009 vintage loans are performing better than loans from any of the prior five years and have been steadily improving as more origination months are added to the loan pool. However, more restrictive underwriting is driving this behavior rather than actual improved consumer behavior. Liquidity is still not available where it is needed most.
My opinion of the above information is as follows:

  • Most of the information above shows that mortgage loan delinquencies, and therefore, foreclosures, are getting much worse.  For example, the total percentage of delinquencies at 13.3%, the average number of days per delinquent loan, the continued deterioration of prime loans and the new mortgage loans serious delinquent rate of 4.64% are reasons to believe that things are getting much worse.
  • The information which shows a positive trend is, for the most part, artificially and temporarily skewed.  For example, the improved roll rates, the 6 month deterioration ratio showing improvement and the 2009 vintage loans performing better are all skewed by the fact that most of these new loans are made to buyers/borrowers who perceive that their home or real estate purchase was a "good deal".  Since most of these buyers/borrowers used FHA/VA/USDA Rural Housing loan programs (see my blog post Our Phony Real Estate Market) they have little to no initial equity.  Due to the continued housing market decline, huge numbers of these buyers/borrowers will soon be in negative equity positions, which will result in increasing mortgage loan default rates among these buyers/borrowers in the near future.  In addition to that the relatively low foreclosure starts in December 2009 were artificially held down by government mandated loan modification and foreclosure moratoria, which will go end soon with the result of foreclosures increasing again.
If you are a Middle TN homeowner, property owner, condo owner, real estate investor, home builder or real estate developer who cannot pay your mortgage payments (due to losing your job, having your income reduced, illness, health problems, adverse business conditions, slow sales, loss of investment property tenants, vacancy issues, lack of funds to complete the project, feuding business partners, etc.), know that you will not be able to pay your mortgage, have defaulted on your mortgage, are already in foreclosure, or owe more than your home is worth, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification and a short sale (a real estate short sale occurs when the sale proceeds are not sufficient to pay off all the mortgages and liens on the property/home). I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I primarily help sellers (homeowners, property owners, condo owners, owners of high end homes and properties (estate homes, luxury homes and executive homes), real estate investors, home builders and real estate developers) of distressed real estate, short sales, pre-foreclosures, foreclosures, investment properties, failed new construction projects and struggling commercial real estate developments located in Middle Tennessee (Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Robertson County TN, Maury County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN, Belle Meade TN, Nolensville TN, Spring Hill TN, Gallatin TN, Springfield TN and Mt. Juliet TN).  If you do need to short sell your home or property, or you need a quick sale due to being in foreclosure, you can request short sale and foreclosure help and assistance on my website at Get Short Sale and Foreclosure Help and Assistance from a Nashville Tennessee and Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Real Estate Expert.

Friday, October 16, 2009

Bank of America Loses More Money Due to High Mortgage Loan Defaults

Bank of America Loses More Money Due to High Mortgage Loan Defaults

According to this Bloomberg article, Bank of America Posts Third-Quarter Loss on Defaults, in the 3rd quarter of 2009, Bank of America had its second quarterly losing quarter this year when it posted a $1B loss for the third quarter.  The loss was attributed to the sagging economy and high mortgage and consumer loan defaults.  To date, Bank of America has taken 2 government bailouts.

The article quotes Harvard University professor Niall Ferguson as saying "The idea that the financial crisis is over is a fantasy and it looks like the numbers bear that out.  It’s clearly not over for Bank of America." According to the article, Bank of America "said the provision for credit losses was $11.7 billion, with $9.6 billion of loans considered uncollectible. Reserves for future losses increased by $2.1 billion, compared with a $4.7 billion addition in the previous quarter, the statement said. The bank’s reserve is now 4 percent of total loans, compared with 4.7 percent at JPMorgan Chase & Co. and 5.9 percent at Citigroup Inc., analyst John McDonald of Bernstein Research said in a report today.  Bank of America said net write-offs of uncollectible loans rose 11 percent from the second quarter to $9.62 billion. The bank wrote off $3.2 billion of home loans, including home equity loans, during the quarter, up 10 percent from the second quarter. Charge-offs on credit cards increased 5 percent to $2.17 billion." Again, this is a debt problem. All forms of debt (mortgages, car loans and consumer loans) are performing poorly.

As I said in some previous blog posts a lot of the "record profits" reported by big banks such as JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are due to profits from their trading activities (risky - could just as easily be huge losses) and write downs on their own debt (as the value of their own debt (bonds) declines due to the poor financial condition of the banks they are able to book the decline in the value of their debt as income). The big banks are making lots of fee income from writing mortgages, overdraft fees, credit card fees, etc., but are not actually lending much money. Almost all of the loans made by the big banks are being bought by the US government (via Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) so when they go bad it will be the US taxpayer who will be taking the loss. This is type of lending (i.e. riskless to the mortgage company writing the loan as they are little more than a loan broker) is one of the causes of the financial mess we are currently in. Bank of America is no different than the other big banks in that most of BofA's earnings growth came from their acquisition of investment bank Merrill Lynch, which made made money primarily through trading activities. One of my concerns beyond the government buying all those loans is what happens when the investment banks lose money via their trading activities. The government will probably have to bail out the banks again. Does this knowledge encourage the banks to take on extra risk since they will not have to pay the full cost of trading losses? That remains to be seen.

According to the article, "Bank of America expects to add to its 20.5 percent share of U.S. home lending over the next five years, Barbara Desoer, president of home loans and insurance, said in an Oct. 14 interview. Home loans not accruing interest increased by 14 percent to $16.5 billion, or 6.9 percent of the bank’s loans and foreclosed properties, the bank said." In other words, nearly 7% of Bank of America's mortgage and home loans are not producing any income because the borrowers are not making payments. Therefore, how can Bank of America increase their mortgage lending? Simple, they will make a ton of new loans (in order to generate fee income), which will be purchased by the US government via Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, thus transferring the risk to the US taxpayer. The result of these activities will be more short sales and foreclosures.

If you are a homeowner in Middle Tennessee who has defaulted on your Bank of America, or other, mortgages, just cannot pay your mortgage due to income loss or unemployment, or your home is already in foreclosure, please contact me to discuss your options including a loan modification or a short sale. I am a Middle Tennessee distressed real estate, short sale, pre-foreclosure (preforeclosure) and foreclosure REALTOR and Expert. I serve real estate owners, homeowners and investment property owners in Rutherford County TN, Williamson County TN, Davidson County TN, Murfreesboro TN, Smyrna TN, La Vergne TN, Eagleville TN, Lascassas TN, Rockvale TN, Christiana TN, Brentwood TN, Franklin TN, Nashville TN and Belle Meade TN.

If you need to sell your home through a short sale, or pre-foreclosure sale, you can request help on my website at Get Help and Assistance from a Middle Tennessee Short Sale and Foreclosure REALTOR and Expert.

Tuesday, September 1, 2009

Prime Mortgages Make Up One Third of Foreclosure Actions

According to this Forbes.com article, Prime Mortgages Are Failing, between April and June of 2009 13% of all homeowners in the United States were either behind on their mortgage payments, or in foreclosure. If that is not bad enough news, the article goes on to state that while subprime (sub prime) ARM loan defaults decreased, the decrease was offset by large a large increase in the number of delinquent prime mortgages (that is mortgages to the most credit worthy borrowers who actually invested down payments, had verifiable jobs and excellent credit). The article quotes Jay Brinkmann, chief economist of the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), as stating "Prime fixed-rate loans now account for one in three foreclosure starts. A year ago they accounted for one in five. While 41 states had increases in the foreclosure start rate for prime fixed-rate loans, 43 states had decreases in that rate for subprime (sub prime) adjustable-rate loans." According to the article, the MBA defines delinquencies as those between 30 and 90 days past due. Homeowners beyond 90 days past due, or in foreclosure, are identified as seriously delinquent. The article blames increasing unemployment and declining property values (think underwater homeowners) as the main causes of this huge increase in prime mortgage foreclosure starts. According to the article, California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada continue to make up the largest % of foreclosures, but that % has decreased from 46% in the 1st quarter of 2009 to 44% in the 2nd quarter of 2009. The article states that Florida is in particularly bad shape with 12% of mortgages in the process of foreclosure, and at least 22.8% are delinquent. Also, according to the article, there was a major jump in Federal Housing Authority (FHA) foreclosures.

Here is my synopsis of the real estate market based on the information above and other information.
  • The most financially responsible borrowers (prime mortgagors) are hurting. Even large down payments are not enough to counter the huge price declines. More homeowners underwater = more foreclosures.
  • Foreclosures are increasing in general. This will cause more price declines.
  • While the "Fab 4" (California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada) are still the kingdoms of foreclosure and prices will surely continue to fall in those markets, the decrease in % of total foreclosures nationwide from 46% to 44% while overall foreclosures increased means that foreclosures in other states increased at a higher pace that the "Fab 4" states. This means prices will decline nearly everywhere.
  • More distressed homeowners will cause more people to try to rent out their homes. Until prices decline to a point where monthly rents exceed total monthly housing payments prices will continue to decline. Rampant foreclosures will make sure prices actually head below this normal equilibrium.
  • Government meddling (expanded FHA mortgages, tax credits, etc.) has not and will not work to save the real estate market. The market is correcting itself to sustainable levels. FHA mortgages are now failing at alarming rates. Tax payers will once again have to foot the bill for regulatory incompetence. It seems that very few people are stating the truth about the real estate market. That is that high housing prices are bad for people (especially lower income people) and high commercial real estate prices are bad for business, which is in turn bad for job growth. Also, real estate has never (until the last few years) been the driver of the economic bus. It has been the passenger, meaning that economic growth (and the resultant business, job and income growth) caused housing prices to increase and new construction to increase. Not the other way around. Any attempt to work in reverse logic = insanity.
Please be clear about my opinion. "The worst is yet to come." I have been saying this since early 2006 and I see no reason to change my outlook on the housing and commercial real estate markets.

Tuesday, July 7, 2009

Delinquencies on home-equity loans hit record

According to this Los Angeles Times article, Delinquencies on home-equity loans hit record, the number of delinquent home equity loans reached 3.52% in the 1st quarter of 2009. The article cites mounting job losses as the primary culprit. The article also mentions that credit card delinquencies reached a record of 6.06% during the same period.

Per my previous posts, it is "only going to get worse". If you cannot afford your home loan payments (mortgage(s) and/or home equity loan(s)), your best option is to request a loan modification in order get your monthly payments reduced. If that does not work and/or your home is worth less than the debt than a short sale is your next best solution. Simply defaulting is not a good answer. If you need assistance in stopping foreclosure proceedings feel free to contact HaltingForeclosures.com.

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Commercial Real Estate Loan Defaults Will Sink Big Banks

I have read many articles that are stating facts that the mainstream media is not covering.  The most important one is that commercial real estate loans are defaulting at an alarming rate.  While the mainstream media continues to debate whether or not the residential housing bust has reached it bottom they continue to ignore the greater problem of bad commercial real estate loans.  My prediction is that the commercial real estate loan defaults will finish the bank killing that the residential bubble bursting started.  I believe that most, if not all, of the major national banks (think Wachovia, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, etc.) will need to be nationalized within 12 months.

The expected massive bank failures will further curtail lending (including home mortgages) and result in further softening of home prices, particularly in over-built areas of the US.