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Thursday, April 23, 2009
Friday, April 17, 2009
According to this article in the Memphis Busines Journal, RealtyTrac: Tennessee foreclosures up in March but trending down in 1Q, foreclosures increased in March 2009 compared to February 2009 by 19.7% and by 13.1% when March 2009 was compared to March 2008. According to the article, the overall foreclosures in the 1st Quarter of 2009 are 16.3% lower than the 1st Quarter of 2008. Unfortunately, the writer of the article used an article of the title that misrepresents the facts. The sad truth is that in order for foreclosures in the first quarter of 2009 relative to 2008 and still have foreclosures soar in March 2009 by 19.7% it means that in January 2009 foreclosures dropped substantially, but that drop was followed by huge increases. It is normal for foreclosures to be low in January so this is not abnormal. However, a near 20% increase for March is not good. According to the article, Tennessee has one foreclosure filing per 263 households. That ranks 17th nationally. For comparison purposes, Pennsylvania (my home state) has only one foreclosure per 464 households. This means Tennessee’s foreclosure rate is 76% higher than Pennsylvania’s rate. Not good. Contrary to whatever nonsense and spin is out there in the media foreclosures are going to increase for the next several months, if not longer due to general economic problems (think unemployment) and continuing financial problems (think bank failures).